When PM Modi visits any neighbouring state of Odisha at same time his team could do a smart time management so he could land in Odisha and talk to public, could be a good strategy until it's declared he will contest from Puri that many are believing. But the recent two public address and the strategy didn't give enough desired moral boast to their cadre as it's flawed over the period of last 4 years with every up and down aggression strategy. So in such important election year all fighting alone possibilities have already been doomed for BJP though the perception was one Odia union minister for CM completely focusing on assembly election and Modi for PM focusing on general election while putting rigorous challenge on Naveen Patnaik Government.
Odisha BJP solely depends on PM Modi to fight both general and assembly election in Odisha otherwise the crowd will be very less comparing with BJD.
The aggressive attack tactics could have given enough impetus to BJP achieving more than what they deserve now. But a wrong strategy adhered by party creating an impression if not this time then never in context to Odisha.
Or there may be a wiser analysis of BJP's own strength in Odisha by the central BJP research team that, don't cover the distance without enough oil else the behind man can easily cross over and take milage for a long period considering the unique political sentiment of Odisha. So don't give a chance to Congress to ally with BJD to take the control forever in a Karnataka like scenario even less or more seat with short of majority by BJD can ensure Naveen Patnaik as Chief Minister and Rahul Gandhi as Prime Minister.
Better they should have helped another regional party to emerge to challenge the core base of BJD as BJP falied to galvanize its organisational strength at every block level in this golden five years and even by now doesn't have control over many districts in Odisha while BJD has maintained a solid organisational base across Odisha. But rather in one way it acted smartly by easily negotiating with BJD for achieving party's national interest through issue based support by putting real challenges and sometimes relaxing the checkmate step as to run a first time absolute majority new Government with new leader out of Delhi.
Odisha has enough political issues to throw Naveen Patnaik Govt from power looking from gross management failure in Jagannath Temple, its Ratnabhandar missing key, massive Chitfund & Mining scams, farmers issue, gruesome rape and killing of minor girls in Kunduli, Pipili, Salepur and at many other places, severe law and order failure to most importantly a two decade same Government continuing over complete anti incumbency.
The serious issues among all were Chitfund and Mining like mega scams which BJP didn't take up seriously later though few BJD leaders went to jail but half of BJD leaders were involved directly or indirectly. It adhere a soft approach and didn't act proactively to get their support on some important national issues. However it only challenged in Panchayat election while getting promising results but again went soft on BJD thinking to come to power in 2019 with BJD's help and not giving MP, Rajasthan or Chhattisgarh like easy road and at any cost Congress shouldn't grab power in Odisha or in Delhi. In 2014 BJD had won 20 LS seats, BJP with 1 and 0 for Congress. But in 2019 it should be 0 for Congress at any cost and the balance will be done post counting 2019 election results to take BJD onboard. From 2014 to post Karnataka election BJP's aggressive approach was on right track towards Odisha though TDP being a NDA ally had left and all the while it was only TMC cornered always. Both TDP & TMC from neighborhood are strong regional parties like BJD. So, does the situation demand NO disturb to 2019 grand equation? As in reality BJD can win more seats than both BJP and Congress together if BJP doesn't put a serious challenge.
Earlier Congress coined "Krishi Runa Maaf" to win election in states where it directly faught against BJP in 2018 in Karnataka, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh where its state Govt running now and the laugh actually came to Congress after the severe debale of 2014 at the end of second half also at the climax period of Modi-Shah invincible episode running since 2014. But in Odisha BJD outsmarted both Congress and BJP while completely turned serious farmer issues and anger to its election plank by launching KALIA scheme to distribute ₹10,000 to each family of 60 lakh farmers targeted and arranging a mega rally to highlight farmers issue at Delhi. The wide impression emerging is, getting ₹10,000 is reality than a never getting ₹15,00000. Though the scheme will create more chaous in future with increasing wide gap between farmers having land and sharecroppers and also the condition for ₹10,000, what people believe as initial pension, will be provided for three years only. In three years no farmers will be empowered rather once farmers are identified legally and given money through Govt scheme and database is created for them then it will become a mega issue in future with wide range of protest demanding form next Govt to continue giving pension to farmers like the SC/ST quota continuing till today against its initial inception for ten years. In short term, this KALIA scheme may become a game changer for BJD, with an ease rope given by BJP maintaing silence, to capture more seats pushing Congress to third spot at any cost.
At end, this is my understanding after watching PM Modi's two rallies over a fortnight that itself is a record as no Prime Minister has visited Odisha twice over a fortnight and his another rally is scheduled on 16 January 2019 at Bolangir a third visit in a month so. Also I have never seen a person who could actually assess PM Modi's political strategy, forget understanding his tone & tenor. Yesterday in a public meeting at Baripada Modi ji spoke about Pipili gang rape case and how the system failed to give justice to the family of a gang rape victim is no more. And today the cabinet Minister from that constituency resigned. His approach is like Chinese aggression, where the opponent is prepared more and expend a lot anticipating to counter the emerging threat then the source aggression softens. Only the opponent knows what type of losses it gets and its impact. While so many CBI cases hanging and many important BJD leaders are usually suspected anything or any equation can be possible. It's very difficult to understand and too not wise to underestimate Modi-Shah strategy unless you are their blue eyed man and PM Modi is a proven man having stupendous ability to turn up any adversary situation to favorable one.
